CareerGateway
When to Stop

Module 4 of 6

Sunk cost in your own head

Catching the reasoning as you do it, not recognising it afterwards.

Everyone can define the sunk-cost fallacy and almost nobody catches themselves committing it, because from the inside it does not feel like a fallacy. It feels like commitment, or loyalty, or refusing to be a quitter — all things you have been told are virtues.

The sentences are recognisable once you know them. "I have already put two years into this." "If I stop now, all of that was wasted." "It would be a waste of everything I have spent." Each of these makes the past a reason for a future decision, and the past cannot be a reason, because no choice you make now can change it. The money is gone whichever way you decide.

The test that cuts through it: if someone handed you this business today, with its current customers, current revenue and current trajectory, and none of your history in it — would you take it on? If the answer is no, then the only thing keeping you in it is the part that has already gone. A second version, for people who find that too abstract: would you advise a friend in exactly this position to continue? Most people are markedly more honest on behalf of someone else, which is itself worth noticing.

Takeaway

Ask whether you would take this on today with none of your history in it. What you have already spent is gone either way and cannot be a reason.